BBC2 will screen tonight’s Carling Cup Semi Final Second Leg between Cardiff and Crystal Palace, the game is on a knife edge with Palace taking a 1-0 lead into the second leg but will that be enough? What are the best bets in this match according to ValueChecker’s betting tools?
With both sides playing in the same division the ValueChecker wikis could be even more useful than they usually are for cup ties, the Cardiff ValueChecker wikis suggest that this game is a great bet for over 1.5 goals but not necessarily over 2.5 goals. Last season almost 85% of Cardiff’s matches contained over 1.5 goals but that dropped to 52% for over 2.5 goals. That’s not a bad ratio for over 2.5 goals but it’s a big drop for just one extra goal so the value could lie with over 1.5 goals in this match.
Cardiff players are also worth following in the last goalscorer market according to the Cardiff ValueChecker wikis. Last season only Norwich (now a Premiership side) scored more goals in the final 15 minutes of their matches. This also could help with in running betting, if Cardiff still need a goal with 15 minutes or so left in the match they shouldn’t be given up upon.
Players to avoid for Cardiff in the goalscorer markets could be their defenders, for most teams the defenders score fewer goals than those players in front of them but for Cardiff last season only one goal came from a corner and one came from a crossed free kick. A very high percentage of Cardiff’s goals come from open play so look for players who will get into good goalscoring positions.
As for the Crystal Palace ValueChecker wikis, there could be worrying news ahead of this match with Palace only holding a 1-0 aggregate lead currently as they have been very poor on their travels. Last season they won just once away from home and this season they haven’t drawn at all away from home in the league.
One of Palace’s major problems in this match may be scoring goals, last season only two teams failed to score on more occasions that Crystal Palace and if Palace don’t score in this match they will need to keep a clean sheet if they are to avoid extra time or elimination.
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