On Sunday Man Utd travel to Tottenham in what could have been described as a possible title decider a few weeks ago. Spurs have dropped off the pace a little though whilst Man City show no signs of letting up at the top of the table so in reality it is now two teams who are going to finish where they are now. That doesn’t stop it from being an interesting betting heat though, what does ValueChecker make of this match?
The Tottenham ValueChecker wikis show that Spurs should have nothing to fear when Man Utd come to town as Spurs have a great home record and a decent record against the better teams in the division. Between the start of the 09/10 season and the end of the 10/11 season Spurs lost only four games at home in the Premiership, only Man Utd and Chelsea had better records in that period. Meanwhile Spurs have few problems with top half teams, last season Spurs were within three points of the best overall record against the eventual top half teams whilst the season before Spurs gained 31 points from 18 games against top half teams and that was the third best record in the league, again only bettered by Man Utd and Chelsea.
If you fancy Spurs to win this game then a better bet than them simply to win could be to back the team to win 2-1. For the last two seasons Spurs have won eight games by 2-1 scorelines and statistically that makes them the best team to back by that scoreline and 2-1 is always a fair price with the bookies.
Tottenham’s good record against top half teams could be cancelled out by Man Utd though according to the Man Utd ValueChecker wikis, they had the best record last season against the top half teams, picking up 33 points from those games and the season before Man Utd also got 33 points from the games against the top half, showing their consistency as well as their quality.
Whatever the result at full time in this match a draw could be the most likely half time result according to these wikis.I n the 10/11 Premiership season Man Utd were winning just 4 away games at half time (10 draws and 5 losses) whilst in the 09/10 Premiership season Man Utd were winning just 6 away games at half time (10 draws and 3 losses). With both teams doing well against the better teams in the league and Spurs so strong at home this could easily be a draw at full time too making draw/draw an appealing bet in the half time/full time betting.
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