It surprised many that Spurs required a replay against Stevenage in the FA Cup and Stevenage will be looking to pull off an even bigger shock at White Hart Lane on Wednesday night. Chelsea avoided an upset last night against Birmingham, can Spurs do the same and book a quarter final match against Bolton?
Spurs have struggled in recent matches and it seems the ValueChecker Value Bets, which are determined by a statistical analysis of previous results are well aware of their recent struggles. The best value bet in this match according to ValueChecker is an away win at huge odds. Stevenage are priced up at 25.00 at the time of writing but ValueChecker suggests that the actual price should be more like 3.67 and as a result that has been assigned a value rating of 0.24. The opposition to Tottenham doesn’t end there, ValueChecker has also thrown up the draw as a value bet, the current odds of 8.2 should be closer to 3.38 apparently and the draw has a value rating of 0.21 in this match.
The Stevenage ValueChecker wikis were proved spot on in the first game between the sides as they show how difficult Stevenage can be to beat at home, one of the main reasons they have progressed so far in recent seasons. The pointer to take from their away matches according to the Stevenage Wikis is that Stevenage are often involved in low scoring matches when on the road. Last season there was an average of just two goals a game in Stevenage’s away matches and as a result under 2.5 goals could be a good value bet in a match where most will be expecting a few goals.
Spurs have a great record against better teams in the Premiership according to the Tottenham ValueChecker wikis so it stands to reason that they have often struggled against lesser teams in the Premiership. These struggles have often been breaking down smaller teams and we saw this again when Spurs failed to score past Stevenage in the first game between the sides. This points again towards under 2.5 goals in this fixture.
The Tottenham ValueChecker wikis also show that Spurs could struggle to score too many if Rafael Van Der Vaart doesn’t start. Van Der Vaart has been a key man in front of goal for Spurs since his arrival from Real Madrid and since he takes the majority of free kicks around the box as well as penalties he could end up with more chances than his team matches if he plays making him a decent bet in the goalscorer markets.
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