Tottenham Could Have Edge Over Liverpool According To Wikis

By Sam Darby on 06/02/2012 11:02

Monday Night Football this week should be highly entertaining with Liverpool taking on Spurs at White Hart Lane. Spurs gained a rare win at Anfield last season, can they gain back to back wins in this fixture or are Liverpool the team to back here?

Tottenham are the bet in this match according to the ValueChecker Value Bets, these are based upon a statistical analysis of previous results and recent domination over Liverpool combined with strong recent form means that Spurs have been assigned a value rating of 0.25 with the suggestion being that the current odds of 4.01 being way off the mark, ValueChecker reckons that Spurs should be more like 2.52 to win this match.

Liverpool have started to score more goals recently and that could be down to a return to form for Dirk Kuyt according to the Liverpool ValueChecker wikis. Kuyt has often been an underrated player for Liverpool, last season he scored 13 goals and set up 8 goals whilst the season before he either scored or assisted in 13 goals. Luis Suarez is back tonight and if he comes in for Dirk Kuyt the amount of goals Liverpool score might actually go down despite the talent of Luis Suarez.

Another pointer for this game from the Liverpool ValueChecker wikis suggests that Liverpool should be opposed in running if Spurs score first in this match. Liverpool are the favourites so if Spurs score first they won’t trade too short and considering last season Liverpool lost nine of the ten games they conceded first in and the season before Liverpool conceded first in thirteen matches and lost eleven of them.

In recent seasons this has been the sort of game to back Spurs in according to the Tottenham ValueChecker wikis. Spurs have a good record against better opposition, last season they needed just three more points to have the best record in the division against top half opposition, they picked up 30 points in those 18 matches and the season before Spurs gained 31 points in those matches. This shows Spurs offer better value against the better teams and Liverpool are certainly one of the better teams in the division.

So Spurs could be good value to win but they might not be good value to keep a clean sheet as they most commonly concede one goal in their matches. Last season Spurs conceded exactly one goal in half their games and the season before this was the case in 16 matches. In both those seasons no team conceded a single goal more often that Spurs so look at correct score options involving one goal for Liverpool. If you want to narrow it down a bit more 2-1 could be a good bet for Spurs’ winning scoreline. Last season Spurs recorded the most 2-1 wins out of all the teams in the Premiership (8 times) and the season before they also won 8 games 2-1.

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