Wolves take on Arsenal on Wednesday night and the stakes are extremely high in this match. Arsenal have a little bit of breathing room in the fight for third but they are still far from assured that place whilst Wolves are in desperate need of a result as they sit bottom of the pile and are favourites for relegation this season. Terry Connor is yet to win as Wolves manager, what a shock it would be if he could pull of a win here.
Unfortunately for Wolves ValueChecker has highlighted Arsenal as the best bet of the day. The ValueChecker Value Bets has suggested that Arsenal are well overpriced at 1.44 with the suggestion that 1.31 is actually the correct price and that difference in odds means that ValueChecker has assigned this a value rating of 0.60. The ValueChecker Value Bets are based on a statistical analysis of previous results so it is no surprise that Arsenal have proved popular, Arsenal have won eight of their last nine Premiership games whilst Wolves have managed to pick up just one point from their last eight games. A huge contrast in form makes Arsenal a strong value bet here it seems.
An away win is not the only ValueChceker Value Bet for this match, ValueChecker has also highlighted the fact that over 2.5 goals appears to be very good value here. At the time of writing you can get 1.55 on this match producing three or more goals and ValueChecker has the correct odds for this at 1.45 and that odds difference means this bet has a value rating of 0.50, the third highest of the day on ValueChecker.
As far as the Wolves ValueChecker wikis, they back up the ValueChecker Value Bets. Wolves aren’t normally a team associated with a large amount of goals but in recent years Wolves have been one of the best teams to bet on in the over 2.5 goals betting when playing at home. Out of Wolves’ 18 home matches in the league in the 10/11 season there were over 2.5 goals on 13 occasions and the season before it was a similar story with 11 matches having over 2.5 goals.
This is again backed up by the Arsenal ValueChecker wikis. Arsenal have been a side with a great attack but slightly leaky defence for several years now and that means Arsenal are one of the best teams for betting on over 2.5 goals. In the 10/11 Premiership season 23 of Arsenal’s 38 games had over 2.5 goals in and it was a similar story the season before, 25 of Arsenal’s league matches had over 2.5 goals in 09/10. If looking to narrow down the more likely Arsenal games to have over 2.5 goals, they more commonly than not come away from home. In the 10/11 Premiership season a huge 14 out of Arsenal’s 19 away league matches contained over 2.5 goals whilst the season before it was 12 of Arsenal’s away matches that had over 2.5 goals.
The main contributor to over 2.5 goals is likely to Arsenal’s Robin Van Persie. He has been in amazing form this season with 26 goals in 32 games and 11 of those goals came away from home which is a strong ratio. This is not the only season in which Van Persie has done well away from home, Van Persie ended the 10/11 Premiership season with goals in nine consecutive away matches which meant 11 of his 18 Premiership goals in that season were scored away from home. Van Persie has a decent away record in previous seasons, although not quite as strong, four of his nine goals in the 09/10 season were scored away from home and he clearly isn't reliant on home goals to bolster his scoring record. Robin Van Persie should be a good bet in the goalscorer markets for this match.
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