Nocerino cracking value at 4-1 to notch another goal for AC Milan on Tuesday night

By Dylan Jenear on 19/12/2011 18:49

Though Juventus, Udinese and Lazio are currently serving it up to reigning Scudetto champions AC Milan in the title race – and Inter are starting to make headway up the table – the Rossoneri aren’t doing much wrong at present, and can make it 11 games unbeaten in the Italian top-flight if they take something from Tuesday evening’s match with Cagliari in Sardinia.

And you would have to fancy the visitors, with the Rossoblu managing to win just one of their last 10 Serie A fixtures, and only bottom two in the league, Lecce and Novara, have conceded a greater number of goals than the Stadio Sant'Elia outfit.

The return of first-team players such as Andrea Cossu and Daniele Conti returning to the fray will be a welcome tonic for the hosts, but their confidence won’t exactly be sky-high following an away defeat to Chievo at the weekend, while they’ve accrued just two points from their last four home games.

In contrast, no other side has won more league fixtures than the Diavolo so far this term, and Massimiliano Allegri’s have lost two matches overall. Swedish striker Zlatan Ibrahimovic netted his tenth goal of the season during the 2-0 victory over Siena on Saturday, meaning he’s scored just two goals fewer than the whole Cagliari team during the present campaign, which helps put things into perspective.

Needless to say, the away win is a short price – 1.60 with Pinnacle is the best available at the time of writing – but they deserve to be a warm order. AC bagged no less than 39 points from 19 away fixtures last season – click here to see AC Milan Wikis for additional statistics – and they rate a solid inclusion for those that like to partake in an accumulator bet of perceived bankers.

Conversely, for those looking for a value bet in the context of this match in isolation, I’m surprised to see that bet365 are offering 5.0 about summer signing Antonio Nocerino in the anytime goalscorer market. Indeed, the 22-year-old has already struck six times for the Rossoneri this season, including the opening goal against Siena at the weekend, making him the club's second-highest scorer this season. Boylesports go just 3.30 about the midfielder getting on the score-sheet, which highlights the magnanimity of bet365’s price.

Recommendation: Antonio Nocerino in the anytime goalscorer market @ 5.0 (available with bet365)