Newcastle Value Odds According To ValueChecker To Defeat Liverpool

By Sam Darby on 30/03/2012 12:10

The most entertaining game of the weekend could come in the early kick off on Sunday when Liverpool travel to Newcastle. It seems both teams are meeting the expectations of their opponents this season with Newcastle challenging for a top four place and Liverpool just looking an average top half team and it will be interesting to see which team comes out on top at St James Park.

The ValueChecker Value Bets are based upon a statistical analysis of previous results as well as relative home and away form and also head to heads so it is no surprise that the ValueChecker Value Bets highlight Newcastle as one of the best bets of the day. Newcastle hold an eight point lead on Liverpool and are also in much better form, Newcastle have eleven points from their last seven matches whilst Liverpool have earned just four points in that time period. Newcastle look good value for this match and ValueChecker suggests that the current odds of 3.21 are way off with 1.90 the correct odds in the opinion of ValueChecker. That is a big difference in odds which means Newcastle have been awarded a value rating of 0.38 for this match.

If you are not 100% sure about backing Newcastle before kick off the Liverpool ValueChecker wikis suggest what might be a good in running bet. Liverpool have a very poor record in coming back when conceding first so if Newcastle score first in this match they may still be good value to pick up the three points despite an inevitable price drop after that goal. In the 10/11 Premiership season Liverpool conceded the first goal in 10 games and lost 9 of them and the season before Liverpool conceded first in 13 of their matches and lost 11 of those games. That is a very large proportion for such a good team and Newcastle will still be a backable price even if they score first in this match.

The Liverpool ValueChecker wikis show that if Liverpool score in this match Dirk Kuyt may be the man to back to get the goal whilst if Kenny Dalglish chooses to leave the Dutchman on the bench Liverpool’s chances of scoring goals might be decreased. Dirk Kuyt proved an important player for Liverpool in the 10/11 Premiership season, not only providing his team with 13 goals but also 8 assists, expect the number of goals Liverpool score to go down whenever Kuyt doesn’t feature. He had a hand (either scored or assisted) 13 goals the season before showing what a strong influence on Liverpool’s scoring he really is.

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