Shrewsbury host Crawley on Monday night and with both teams still in contention for automatic promotion to League One this game is sure to be popular for punters and a tough match for both teams. The January transfer window wasn’t kind to Crawley though and as a result they are now struggling for form, what are the best bets on this match according to ValueChecker?
One selection in this match has been highlighted in the ValueChecker Value Bets which pick the best value selections on any given day based on a statistical analysis of the previous results for the two teams involved. On this occasion ValueChecker is going for a home win with Shrewsbury tipped at their current odds of 2.75. The Value Bet system on ValueChecker suggests that the odds should actually be closer to 2.32 and as a result ValueChecker has handed this bet a value rating of 0.23.
Interestingly coming into this game, the poor recent form of Crawley has seen their odds for promotion drift out but not by a huge amount and not enough to suggest they won’t be getting promoted this season. The ValueChecker Steamers show that Crawley’s promotion odds have drifted by an average of 6% but they are still long odds on for promotion this season.
As for the ValueChecker wikis, the Shrewsbury ValueChecker wikis suggest that goals could be at a premium in this match. Shrewsbury have been a great team to back for under 2.5 goals in recent seasons, last season 24 of their matches had under 2.5 goals whilst the season before it was under 27. Punters certainly shouldn’t be put off backing unders in this match. The reason this game might be under 2.5 goals could be Shrewsbury’s defence, they have a strong defensive record when playing at home, for the last two seasons they have conceded only 37% of the goals against when playing at home.
Another pointer for a low scoring game comes from the Crawley ValueChecker wikis. Last season 57% of Crawley’s away matches contained under 2.5 goals and that under 2.5 goals bet was a winner in a huge 64% of Crawley’s away games the season before. Considering they are playing against a team who like under 2.5 goals this could be one of the bets of the game.
The ValueChecker Wikis are proving a popular tool to find bets on a wide variety of events on ValueChecker and you can add to them by registering (just provide an email address and password) and sharing your knowledge.