Horse Racing News
Big Buck’s will be hard to beat in the World Hurdle – but Wikis point to a value bet...
Published on 26/01/2012 21:42
It’s almost inconceivable that Big Buck’s will be toppled when he goes to post for the Ladbrokes World Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival on March 13. At the time of writing, he is no bigger than around the 8-13 mark to win the race formerly known as the Stayers’ Hurdle for an unprecedented fourth time, and his odds will doubtless contract even further if he wins the Cleeve Hurdle, his intended prep run for the Festival on January 28.
From a value perspective, …
Wikis suggest that Riverside Theatre can fly high in the Ryanair Chase
Published on 26/01/2012 21:14
With January almost over, opportunities for Nicky Henderson to get a run into Riverside Theatre ahead of his intended Cheltenham Festival target, the Ryanair Chase, are diminishing. From an ante-post punters’ perspective the gelding may, therefore, be perceived as a risky bet for that Grade 1 contest.
However, from what can be gleaned from valuechecker.com’s unique horse racing Wikis, the son of King’s Theatre is well worth risking in the ante-post market,…
Irish Independent Arkle - Cue Card best of the wiki positives
Published on 23/01/2012 23:57
The Irish Independent Arkle Trophy looks right up to standard this year with some really decent novice chasers set to line-up. Looking to the past trends for pointers; the winner is likely to be aged between five and eight, although given this is a top class novice chase, that is hardly surprising and one has to go back to 1988 to find a winner outside of this age bracket. The last ten winners all had no more than five races over fences coming into this; slightly more relevant…
David Nicholson Mares - Wiki Stats dominated by Quevega the Festival Banker
Published on 21/01/2012 10:24
The David Nicholson Mares’ Hurdle is one of the newer races at the festival and as such, trends are not yet mature for the final race on day one. There is one trend that stands out though; Willie Mullins’ Irish mare Quevega has won three of the four runnings in 2009, 2010 & 2011. The good news for stat fans is that she is due to line-up again and I see no reason to oppose her for win purposes. Trainer Willie Mullins has master minded this top race-mare’s…
2012 Cross Country Chase - Mullins to take over?
Published on 14/01/2012 11:34
The Genfarclas Cross Country race at the festival is a bit of a marmite type of affair and on too many occasions, races on this unusual bank course are marred by the jockeys being unable to successfully navigate the complex course layout. Still, the latest debacle will hopefully bring some further preventative measures and the riders involved in the Championship race of this sphere are all likely to be experienced and competent.
Looking at the trends and stats for the race,…
2012 Coral Cup Wikis point to Bothy & Third Intention
Published on 05/01/2012 23:24
The Coral Cup held on the Wednesday at Cheltenham is one of the bigger betting races of the festival and with a maximum field, this handicap is always competitive.
If we look at some of the stats from the previous runnings, there are definitely some useful pointers and also a few likely to mislead. Firstly, let's dispel the myth that this is a bad race for favourites. A single winning favourite in the past 10-years is what we would statistically expect and that is exactly…
2012 Champion Chase Wikis point to Sizing Europe
Published on 05/01/2012 23:23
The 2012 running of the Champion Chase could be a small-field affair as many of those in the ante-post betting list are shorter for the Ryanair.
Looking to the Wiki content for clues, it seems the strongest credentials are held by SIZING EUROPE. Although tried over 3miles, Sizing Europe showed that he retains the speed for 2-miles when impressively winning the Tingle Creek this year at Sandown Park. That should not have come as a surprise as the Irish-trained gelding has been…
Dunraven Storm to unleash power at Newbury
Published on 31/12/2011 00:18
2.05 Newbury– CUE CARD has fallen from favour with many but I make him a confident selection for the Betfred Goals Galore Novice Chase at Newbury. Trainer Colin Tizzard is bullish about his stable star’s chances and he looks the class act in this field. There was no disgrace at all in his finishing second to Bob’s Worth here last time and non of his rivals look overly solid. Walkon has a history of injury and I wouldn’t be convinced he will be able to…
£23,000,000 payout voided by Betfair. Thousand Stars can land the Istabraq Festival Hurdle
Published on 29/12/2011 08:10
There were amazing scenes on Betfair yesterday as one punter left themselves open to a potential £23m payout on Voler De Vadette at Leopardstown.
A three hour investigation was launched after an in running lay was placed on the favourite at odds of 29 as he crossed the line. Over £1.5m was matched at the price as he won by four and a half lengths. The lay of £21.3m, had it all been matched would have resulted in a £600m payout.
Betfair voided the…
AW Racing Tips for Lingfield & Wolves
Published on 27/12/2011 23:52
12.10 Lingfield – Every race has a winner and although Adjaad and Pipers Piping are best in at the weights, there is a reason to take them on with QUERIDO. The logic being that Nathan Alison is 5-44 riding at Lingfield whilst his rivals are 0-62 collectively. A tenuous argument, perhaps, but finding the non-obvious clues is sometimes a good strategy.
1.10 Lingfield – STORM RUNNER has really found his feet of late, beating big fields twice at Kempton. Has form here …
Long Run heads the King George VI at Kempton but huge support for Kauto Star
Published on 22/12/2011 23:12
With Christmas break now in place, the next day the UK will host racing will be Boxing Day when all eyes descend upon Kempton and the King George VI Chase.
Kauto Star will be angling for a fifth win in the race. With four consecutive wins in 2006/7/8/9, he had to settle for a third place finish behind Long Run in last year’s renewal which was delayed by the weather and didn’t take place until the 15th January.
Paul Nichols' superstar has seen huge support…
Sharp Shoes can dance to Southwell Success
Published on 21/12/2011 21:46
SHARP SHOES looks a decent bet to land some shopping money in the 5f handicap at Southwell on Thursday (12.30). A winner of 5-races, the 4-y-o has had just 3 runs here on this surface, a trio of consecutive runs at the turn of the year yielding form figures of 245. 7 lb lower now but has been second in two of his last six so not exactly out of form. Dropping in grade today and running off his lowest mark this year, he makes plenty of appeal at a double-figure price.
Half an…
Don't miss this banker bet at Ffos Las on Wednesday!
Published on 20/12/2011 18:46
The most appealing race from a punting perspective on Wednesday is the Walters UK Ltd Handicap Chase at Ffos Las (2.45), and Kaybeew is likely to be popular following his victory at this track over a slightly shorter trip last month.
However, while he has to be respected, particularly with Nigel Twiston-Davies’ horses generally holding their form well, I have my doubts as to whether the six-year-old will be up to defying a 5lb rise in this Class 3 contest, while his…
Richards looking for Ned to run up Three Timer at Mussleburgh
Published on 20/12/2011 09:29
Nicky Richards will be hoping his SIMPLY NED can complete a hat-trick today as he runs in the days most valuable race, a class three handicap Hurdle at Mussleburgh at 2.20pm.
Only a neck second on his bumper debut, he has won both his subsequent hurdle outings, winning by seven lengths from Civil Unrest at Kelso, then eased down even though winning by 9 lengths at Sedgfield last time out when expected to do so as 4/9 favourite. He is a better price today on his handicap bow…
Tips through the card at Plumpton
Published on 18/12/2011 23:16
I shall be rising early on Monday to pop along to Plumpton races and so the selections that will make or break my pre-Christmas week are posted below;
12.30 – Enough possibilities in the opening novice hurdle and not an easy start to the card. Of those with form, Dark And Dangerous looks the strongest option with the more exposed Hi Note looking one to field against. There are a couple of interesting newcomers though in Ministry and WEST BRIT. The latter was the best of…
A Long Walk in the Park for Bucks – A Prospect for the Ladbroke – Ascot Horse Racing Tips
Published on 17/12/2011 11:33
Paul Nichols is expected to dominate the latter part of the day at Ascot with the favourites for both the Long Walk Hurdle and the closing race on the card, The Ladbroke.
Big Bucks is expected to go off the very short favourite for the Long Walk Hurdle at Ascot. 1.30 is the best price available on Betfair for the race, recently rename after the now retired Lough Derg. Big Bucks in now unbeaten in 13 hurdle races after winning with ease at Newbury last month on his seasonal…
It may be Dubai in the Midlands on Friday
Published on 16/12/2011 00:10
The weather is pretty grim down south at the moment and I am going to shun Ascot pending updated ground reports later on. With Uttoxeter planning to inspect, I think best stick to the AW and at Southwell’s early meeting, I fancy TWILIGHT ALLURE (1.00) to build on her maiden win at Wolves three weeks ago. Unexposed after 2 runs in this country and she showed plenty of dash at Wolves. Needs to transfer her form to this surface but bred to go on it and hopefully starts…
Prospect of steady early pace could scupper Royal Charm's chance at Exeter today
Published on 15/12/2011 08:15
There's no doubt at all that Royal Charm is the one to beat as he bids to land the Betfair Graduation Chase for the second year running at Exeter this afternoon.
Always held in high regard by trainer Paul Nicholls, the French import has won all four starts at this Somerset venue, including twice over C&D. And the six-year-old was still going strongly when falling at the fourth-last on his reappearance at Sandown.
However, while the son of Cadoudal is proven over this …
Time for Rupert given a winnable opportunity to get season back on track
Published on 14/12/2011 09:30
Paul Webber has put Time for Rupert into a graduation chase at Newbury today in an attempt to get a win under his belt and his season back on track. Beaten twice this term already including finishing last in last months Betfair Chase, this line up of just four is not as strong and should be a chance to gain a win.
With Will Kennedy parting company with trainer Paul Webber, Time for Rupert will find someone new on his back. Dennis O’Reagen will be aboard this time and…
Kauto Star and Master Minded both on course for King George, but stats are against Paul Nicholls' duo
Published on 12/12/2011 21:37
Champion trainer Paul Nicholls has confirmed in his Betfair blog that the Clive Smith-owned duo, Kauto Star and Master Minded, are both on course for the King George VI Chase at Kempton Park on Boxing Day. But what are the chances of one of Nicholls’ stable stars coming out on top this time? If the stats are to be believed, the prospects for that duo are not good.
While Kauto Star has won the Grade 1 chase an unprecedented four times, he’s now 11, and horses older …