Goals And A Half Time Draw Good Bets For Blackburn v Man Utd

By Sam Darby on 02/04/2012 12:03

Both teams need a result when Man Utd go to Ewood Park to face Blackburn on Monday night, Man City dropped two points on Saturday which means Man Utd can go five points clear at the top of the Premiership whilst wins for Bolton, QPR and Wigan at the weekend also piles the pressure on Blackburn who are only outside of the bottom three on goal scored currently. There was a big shock in this fixture at Old Trafford earlier in the season, can Blackburn do the double over Man Utd this season?

According to the ValueChecker Value Bets, which are based on a statistical analysis of previous results, Blackburn are the best bet to be had in this game. Blackburn obviously have a tough task ahead of them but you can see why ValueChecker has flagged them up as overpriced in this fixture, Blackburn are currently sixth in the form table (last six games), beat Man Utd earlier in the season at Old Trafford and it is also worth noting that Man Utd have only won two of the last eleven league trips to Ewood Park. Blackburn are 9.0 to win this but with home advantage ValueChecker suggests the price should be more like 3.44 and as a result of that odds difference Blackburn have been given a value rating in this match of 0.21.

Over 3.5 goals can often be a profitable bet on Man Utd’s away matches and with a high scoring game already having been played out between these two teams at Old Trafford it could be good bet once again here. Everyone knows Man Utd have plenty of firepower but their ability to score (and concede) goals when playing away from home might still be a little underestimated. In both the 10/11 season and the 09/10 season 8 of Man Utd’s 19 away matches had over 3.5 goals. That may be less than half but the odds on over 3.5 goals are often quite large and this could still be a good value play in this match.

Both the Man Utd ValueChecker wikis and Blackburn ValueChecker wikis wikis point to a draw at half time here. The Man Utd wikis show that away from home Man Utd tend to be drawing more often than not. In the 10/11 Premiership season Man Utd were winning just 4 away games at half time (10 draws and 5 losses) whilst in the 09/10 Premiership season Man Utd were winning just 6 away games at half time (10 draws and 3 losses). Meanwhile in the Blackburn wikis we can see that Blackburn are certainly a team to be feared in the first half of games. If all the games during the 10/11 Premiership season had ended at half time Blackburn would have finished in fourth place. They were winning 13 times, drawing 20 matches and losing just 5 at the half way point in that season. Back this game to be all square at half time.

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