Estonia look overpriced to pour more misery on Northern Ireland
Pride is all Northern Ireland will have to play for in Belfast on Friday evening, but Estonia who currently trail second placed Serbia by a single point, having played a game more, still have faint hopes of qualifying for the finals.
Almost exactly a month ago Estonia handed out a 4-1 beating to Northern Ireland on their home patch and have already taken maximum points from their trips to Serbia and Slovenia. Northern Ireland on the other hand have really struggled of late winning only one match, at home to the Faroe Islands, since their opening fixture.
Team news ahead of the match isn't good for Northern Ireland with the vital cog in their defence Jonny Evans missing with an ankle problem and a groin injury robbing the home side of the services of Aaron Hughes.
Estonia will be without experienced Taavi Rahn due to suspension and midfielder Konstantin Vassiljev is a doubt with a hamstring injury. Good news for the away side though is that Raio Piiroja has recovered from a thigh strain and looks set to start.
Looking at the odds I can't see why Estonia are the underdogs, they've achieved the better results in the group, have beaten Northern Ireland recently and have more to play for so it's a question of which way to bet. You can either take the 3.93 for an Estonia victory with Pinnacle or if you fancy a bit of insurance how about the 1.83 on offer with Bwin in the Double Chance market.