Chelsea Need Drogba In Top Form To Qualify Ahead Of Napoli In Champions League

By Sam Darby on 14/03/2012 11:31

Chelsea face an uphill task on Wednesday night when Napoli visit Stamford Bridge, the Italians who have been a revelation in the Champions League this season and helped knock Man City out of the competition will take another English scalp unless Chelsea can reverse a 3-1 deficit. Can they do it? Let’s see what the ValueChecker tools make of this match.

The best value bet in this match according to the ValueChecker Value Bets is under 2.5 goals. The Value Bets are automatically generated and they are based on a statistical analysis of previous results and ValueChecker thinks that the current odds of 2.27 on under 2.5 goals in this match should actually be much closer to 2.20 and as a result this bet has been assigned a value rating of 0.29. This could be bad news for Chelsea if the game is under 2.5 goals, they will need to keep a clean sheet as a 2-0 win is the only under 2.5 goals result that would see them progress to the next round.

Under 2.5 goals is not the only bet in this match between Chelsea and Napoli that has been flagged up by the ValueChecker Value Bets, ValueChecker also thinks that the away side are a good bet here at Stamford Bridge. Napoli are currently available at 5.00 to beat Chelsea on their home patch but ValueChecker thinks that Napoli are almost twice the price they should be as ValueChecker makes the correct price of the away side 2.75. This difference in odds means ValueChecker has given this bet a value rating of 0.24.

As for the Chelsea ValueChecker wikis, they suggest that Didier Drogba could be the most important man on the field tonight. Didier Drogba was a great team player for Chelsea in the 10/11 Premiership season, not only providing his team with 12 goals but also 15 assists. This is no one off, in the 09/10 season Drogba played a hand in 42 goals, scoring 29 and setting up 13. Drogba could be the best first goalscorer bet in this match and if he doesn’t play then Chelsea’s ability to score goals will be much lower.

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