Spurs take on Blackburn on Sky Sports 1 on Sunday in a game that is likely to have implications at both ends of the Premiership table. Spurs still have high hopes of finishing in the top four (although fourth place might not be enough to secure Champions League qualification) whilst Blackburn are still very much involved in a relegation battle.
According to the ValueChecker Value Bets there is a very good bet in this match and it is over 2.5 goals. The ValueChecker Value Bets are based on a statistical analysis of previous results and one of the best bets of the entire today is over 2.5 goals in this match. The odds available on over 2.5 goals at the time of writing are 1.57 but ValueChecker thinks that 1.34 is more like the correct price for this bet and the price difference means that ValueChecker has assigned this outcome a value rating of 0.58.
This is backed up by the Spurs ValueChecker wikis which show that the best correct score bet in this match is likely to be a 2-1 win for Spurs. Tottenham are considered one of the Premiership’s entertainers and it is easy to understand why with goals often going in at both ends in their matches. In the 10/11 Premiership season Tottenham recorded by far the most 2-1 victories, that was the winning scoreline in 8 of their league matches, whilst the season before it was exactly the same with another 8 2-1 wins. With Spurs scoring and conceding at home at the moment this looks a good bet.
Punters may be a bit worried about backing Spurs in their current form but they’ve had a lot of away matches recently and they often prove a better bet at home. Between the start of the 09/10 Premiership season and the end of the 10/11 Premiership season Tottenham lost just four matches at home (just one in the latter season). Only Man Utd and Chelsea lost fewer home games in this time period.
The Blackburn ValueChecker wikis suggest that the away side may offer more in the first half than the second half here. If all the games during the 10/11 Premiership season had ended at half time Blackburn would have finished in fourth place. They were winning 13 times, drawing 20 matches and losing just 5 at the half way point in that season. The best ways to make money out of this wiki are possibly to back Draw/Spurs or you could make a play in running, expecting Spurs to improve on whatever happens in the first half in the second half.
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