Chelsea and Liverpool will contest the FA Cup Final having beaten Spurs and Everton respectively in their semi finals and Liverpool have the chance to do the League Cup and FA Cup double, a feat that hasn’t been achieved since Liverpool did the cup double in 2001. With that proven form in the cups does ValueChecker think that it will be a historic win for Liverpool or a fourth FA Cup for Chelsea in six years?
The number of goals in this match could hinge on the selections of Dirk Kuyt and Didier Drogba according to the Liverpool ValueChecker wikis and Chelsea ValueChecker wikis. Dirk Kuyt proved an important player for Liverpool in the 10/11 Premiership season, not only providing his team with 13 goals but also 8 assists, expect the number of goals Liverpool score to go down whenever Kuyt doesn’t feature. He had a hand (either scored or assisted) 13 goals the season before and although not quite in the same form this season, he has chipped in with some important goals, including here at Wembley in the Carling Cup final.
Meanwhile Didier Drogba proved an important player for Chelsea in the 10/11 Premiership season, not only providing his team with 12 goals but also 15 assists. This is no one off, in the 09/10 season Drogba played a hand in 42 goals, scoring 29 and setting up 13. If Drogba doesn't play, don't expect as many goals from Chelsea.
Another noteworthy stat from the Liverpool ValueChecker wikis is that Liverpool have a bad record when they concede the first goal in their matches. In the 10/11 Premiership season Liverpool conceded the first goal in 10 games and lost 9 of them and the season before Liverpool conceded first in 13 of their matches and lost 11 of those games. That is a very large proportion for such a good team and if Chelsea score the first goal in this match it could be worth backing Chelsea in running as Liverpool look most likely to collapse.
Something that will help Chelsea keep the pressure on Liverpool according to the Chelsea ValueChecker wikis is their ability to score late goals. In the 10/11 Premiership season Chelsea scored 20 goals between the 76th minute and the final whistle whilst the season before they had an even better record scoring 26 goals between the 76th minute and the final whistle. In both seasons no team scored more goals in that time window and Chelsea should be favoured in any in running market where late goals can be profitable.
Frank Lampard scored a great free kick here at Wembley in the semi final and he could be interesting in the goalscorer markets for this match. Lampard has scored some key goals for Chelsea in recent weeks from the penalty spot which is no surprise as Chelsea are consistently one of the teams in receipt of most penalties each Premiership season. In the 10/11 Premiership season Chelsea were awarded 6 penalties and in the 09/10 season they were awarded a huge 11 penalties. Frank Lampard isn’t completely reliant on penalties for goals but it is a bonus that he takes them for Chelsea with their ability to be awarded penalties.
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