Best Bets For FA Cup Replay Between Sheffield Wednesday And Blackpool

By Sam Darby on 07/02/2012 11:07

The live game on ESPN on Tuesday night comes from the FA Cup with Sheffield Wednesday and Blackpool playing out their fourth round replay in a bid to make it through to the fifth round. Which side will be victorious?

The ValueChecker Value Bets are predicting that extra time will be required in this match. The Value Bets are based upon a statistical analysis of previous results and it seems the draw is fairly overpriced in this match, you can get 3.52 at the time of writing on the draw but ValueChecker thinks that the draw should be closer to 2.39 and that difference in odds means that bet has been assigned a value rating of 0.26.

Although this game will be tough for Sheffield Wednesday as they face an in form side from the division above, according to the Sheffield Wednesday ValueChecker wikis they could be good value to score early in the match. Sheffield Wednesday scored more goals in the opening 30 mins of games, than they did in any other 15 or 30 minute period of games in 2010/11. This is unusual as most sides, 80% will have better second half scoring records. It is therefore also worth mostly noting Sheffield Wednesday players in the first goalscorer betting.

If Sheffield Wednesday do score first and hold a lead at half time then they should be worth backing in running according to the Blackpool ValueChecker wikis. Blackpool could not turn around a half time deficit in 2010/11. in the 14 games in which they were losing at half time, they went on to lose 13 of them, gaining a draw in just one game. Sheffield Wednesday aren’t nearly as good as many of those teams that Blackpool lost to but when that sort of mentality gets into a team it can be hard to get out.

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