The Champions League returns this week and it is a competition that always appeals as a betting medium as the more competitive matches on offer often provide bigger odds bets on the games. On Wednesday night most eyes may be on what many are calling the tie of the round, AC Milan v Arsenal.
The ValueChecker Value Bets suggest that this could be a good night for the English as Arsenal have been highlighted as one of the best bets of the day. The ValueChecker Value Bets are based on a statistical analysis of previous results and it seems clear that Arsenal must be capable of getting big results away from home as ValueChecker thinks that the current 4.0 available on Arsenal to beat Milan is a great bet with the suggestion being Arsenal should actually be more like 2.45 and that difference means that this bet has been assigned a value rating by ValueChecker of 0.26.
It will be interesting to see how the Arsenal ValueChecker wikis translate to the Champions League, they are based on statistics from the Premiership and those stats from the top level week in and week out should help us narrow down some of the betting options in this match. Anyone looking for goals tonight could do well to concentrate on this match according to the Arsenal ValueChecker wikis, they have been one of the best teams to back for over 2.5 goals with 23 league matches having over 2.5 goals last season and 25 the season before. The stats improve when you look at Arsenal’s away record, last season 14 of Arsenal’s 19 away matches produced over 2.5 goals whilst the season before it was 12 out of 19. Over 2.5 goals might just be overpriced in this match based on those stats.
Robin Van Persie is the obvious choice to score for Arsenal tonight and on closer inspection his away record is really impressive, a bonus for anyone backing him to score against AC Milan at the San Siro. Last season Van Persie scored in his final nine away appearances and the season before Van Persie scored only nine goals in an injury hit season but four of those came away from home, not a bad ratio at all.
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