The Carling Cup Semi Finals are going to dominate the football headlines this week with the first legs taking place over Tuesday and Wednesday and Tuesday’s match will guarantee that a Championships side reaches the final with Crystal Palace taking on Cardiff City.
According to ValueChecker an away win in this fixture is amongst the top 20 ValueChecker Value Bets on the site today, that outcome has been assigned a value rating of 0.21 based on an analysis of previous results and ValueChecker thinks the odds on Cardiff beating Crystal Palace in the First Leg should be 2.29 rather than 2.37.
This has been reflected in the ValueChecker Steamers where many outcomes that involve success for Cardiff have been very well backed. First of all Cardiff have been backed in the to qualify for the final market, their odds have fallen from 1.72 to 1.63 which represents a drop in odds of 12.5%. Cardiff were also backed to be winning the game at half time, those odds fell from 3.13 to 2.98 but the biggest price change on this match came in the half time/full time betting with a 12.8% drop in average odds from 4.12 to 3.73. All these changes are likely to be in response to news from the Crystal Palace camp that a virus has hit the team and they are struggling to field a fit eleven.
One interesting stat from the Cardiff ValueChecker wikis which could be a good in running pointer or pre match betting pointer is on when Cardiff score many of their goals. According to the ValueChecker Wikis on Cardiff only Norwich (now in the Premiership) scored more goals than Cardiff last season in the last 15 minutes of their matches. This suggests Cardiff players are good value in the last goalscorer betting and Cardiff should be backed in running to score in the last 15 minutes, especially against what could be a makeshift side.
Cardiff players should also prove good value in the first goalscorer betting, last season Cardiff scored the first goal of the game more often than any other Championship side, they managed that achievement on no fewer than 29 occasions.
The ValueChecker Wikis are proving a popular tool to find bets on a wide variety of events on ValueChecker, you can find the Crystal Palace ValueChecker wikis by clicking here, alternatively you can add to them by registering (just provide an email address and password) and sharing your knowledge.